McCain is a head. It was the year the Democrats were supposed to win easily. The hysterical Obama bloggers are beside themselves. They are one step away from blaming Hillary for McCain being ahead.
The usual suspects don't work. The media loves Obama and McCain almost to the same degree. So as opposed blaming the lame campaigns of Gore and, in particular, Kerry on them, we blamed the media. (The media did its best to harm them, but they lost because their campaign was bad.)
So, if you aren’t blaming the media and don't blame Hillary, it must be Obama himself.
We do have the impression that Obama did well in the primaries. That impression is wrong. Obama was beaten soundly in the primaries. He did well in small red states, as if it matters, and caucuses. So, we should have panicked when he won the nomination.
There are several reasons Obama is not doing well against McCain. It seems that he and his crew are convinced in their magic over the electorate. Somehow, by running a run of the mill campaign Obama's huge merits will prevail because the electorate will see the light. It's almost a belief in a political religious conversion. Well, it didn't work in Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Jersey and other states the first time around. It's not going to work now.
Some believe that Obama justifiable can sit on his hands. They claim that he has this ultra sophisticated network that will mobilize people on election day and dragged to the polls to vote for Obama. This will bring Obama voters that will overwhelm the McCain vote easily. In addition to ignoring that good polls that will successful count the dragged masses, this belief didn’t work in the primaries.
Obama, sadly enough, has problems expressing himself succinctly and distinctly. It took Hillary to say that entrusting the White House to McCain-Palin -- after eight years of George W. Bush -- was akin to "asking the iceberg to save the Titanic." Obama is incapable of such clear, brief and memorable responses. Obama tends to go into clumsy explanation that end up fogging the issue rather than illuminating it.
Obama also gives the impression that the campaign is just another day in the park. He is cool, collected and passionless. Obama doesn’t communicate the urgency in this campaign. When you say coolly that McCain will be a 3rd term of Bush, it doesn’t convey the urgency. For some reason, Obama discusses the issue without sounding the alarm.
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